Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 209.793536 253.438153 308.557531 385.194528 492.309109 642.328623 8.798408e+02
2025-01-05 150.163362 196.217744 261.959183 368.365371 549.457533 877.356322 1.625313e+03
2025-01-12 124.703519 171.254755 243.265574 373.021774 630.353373 1215.342603 3.204516e+03
2025-01-19 105.930135 150.303244 222.759885 363.634722 677.558303 1544.136962 6.058354e+03
2025-01-26 100.090875 147.662539 230.641543 408.470097 873.830030 2617.849465 2.659264e+04
2025-02-02 98.007292 150.441301 248.427520 482.267605 1226.182285 5618.132019 1.875862e+07
2025-02-09 88.722268 138.765393 235.440660 478.998298 1341.039820 8240.316587 NaN
2025-02-16 82.219972 131.049715 228.636468 488.934433 1527.027286 14063.194396 NaN
2025-02-23 77.172255 125.248167 224.539716 504.940257 1775.218445 28818.787058 NaN
2025-03-02 73.265687 121.046332 223.022654 528.459772 2121.979057 86686.563313 NaN
2025-03-09 68.792426 115.101538 216.292920 532.822817 2378.831099 331404.786789 NaN
2025-03-16 63.488096 106.865648 202.724327 508.971080 2399.176559 975538.417963 NaN
2025-03-23 60.769068 104.285571 204.039674 545.986796 3130.424323 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 55.535609 95.900977 189.543329 518.191251 3190.048824 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 52.341441 91.470493 184.357744 525.789545 3757.291323 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 48.750343 85.757278 174.736872 510.488809 3994.042317 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 48.293839 86.855843 183.696607 584.361185 6564.357549 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 48.730008 90.022054 199.447821 710.213919 14776.906307 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 46.121114 85.756750 192.187620 704.528734 17823.881112 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 44.205517 82.938923 188.884335 721.838355 25087.547251 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 42.631088 80.772163 187.228815 749.916222 40023.960342 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 41.366074 79.223078 187.282623 791.606676 79355.591214 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 39.706579 76.526791 183.030658 799.396728 132054.005314 NaN NaN